Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 41.266248 47.019448 53.317718 60.729724 69.220925 78.652958 89.936530
2024-12-22 34.943205 42.909295 52.325886 64.300131 79.154816 97.020722 120.204991
2024-12-29 30.929018 40.658229 52.993754 69.837150 92.328114 121.452917 162.238423
2025-01-05 26.660656 37.341018 51.797121 72.900110 103.105368 145.060269 208.245274
2025-01-12 22.275363 33.095354 48.661387 72.855473 109.829478 164.715249 253.314697
2025-01-19 18.972124 29.797333 46.293184 73.504297 117.768112 187.793437 308.649920
2025-01-26 17.003754 28.165692 46.141175 77.546659 131.823054 223.183227 391.545677
2025-02-02 15.474247 26.962607 46.464332 82.464036 148.413042 266.278713 497.778699
2025-02-09 13.711315 25.045574 45.256783 84.545684 160.586642 304.429706 604.633893
2025-02-16 11.813931 22.545860 42.579525 83.449832 166.734677 332.932853 700.305172
2025-02-23 10.257393 20.403978 40.185658 82.441428 172.898411 362.913428 806.867429
2025-03-02 9.067419 18.766644 38.479945 82.495577 181.312274 399.475221 937.471527
2025-03-09 8.143943 17.546998 37.483940 84.054931 193.827615 448.887589 1113.929975
2025-03-16 7.254993 16.241692 36.080218 84.468968 203.992412 495.742707 1298.680779
2025-03-23 6.710389 15.603615 36.038475 88.077793 222.782413 568.277556 1572.406001
2025-03-30 6.058943 14.598799 34.973855 89.012026 235.223544 628.265681 1831.509640
2025-04-06 5.314986 13.234925 32.801905 86.696809 238.676493 665.604433 2038.087108
2025-04-13 4.745810 12.201789 31.258879 85.723925 245.659427 714.790658 2297.515622
2025-04-20 4.442033 11.798804 31.264954 89.041178 265.899720 808.287998 2731.785683
2025-04-27 4.212131 11.551374 31.643561 93.541480 290.968362 923.784358 3282.399117
2025-05-04 3.887282 10.981739 31.029016 94.974852 306.938968 1015.144141 3781.545205
2025-05-11 3.486131 10.121208 29.425946 93.015488 311.455825 1070.009575 4165.713315
2025-05-18 3.142301 9.367672 28.000989 91.329883 316.582230 1128.885741 4589.621883